Outlook for the recession and recovery

RecoveryWatch: October Executive Summary

RecoveryWatch: October Executive Summary

In this executive summary, Prevedere’s economist team presents an expert analysis of the key leading economic indicators that are most reliable in forecasting economic growth. Also offered is an outlook for recession and the recovery of the United States economy. Top economists conducted this analysis on October 18, 2022.

Despite a likely positive GDP reading for Q3 of 2022, the leading indicators point towards an economic contraction at the end of 2022 and early 2023. The report explores optimistic, baseline, and pessimistic scenarios facing the U.S. economy.

This report includes the following scenarios:

  • Optimistic: Economic stagflation and high prices
  • Baseline: Mild recession and increased inflationary impacts 
  • Pessimistic: Strong recession in 2023 and rising debt

Download the report to learn more.


About Prevedere, Inc.
Prevedere is the world’s leading provider of predictive analytics technology and solutions based on econometric modeling, enabling intelligent enterprises to understand and quantify the impact of external factors as part of their strategic planning and forecasting. Our global data repository and patented AI platform enable financial executives and operational planners to identify market drivers, quantify the future impact of economic volatility, generate performance forecasts, and optimize plans based on market foresight.

Prevedere’s automated AI model monitoring provides an early warning system when unplanned market shifts and anomalies are predicted, enabling planners to future proof business performance. Many of the world’s leading consumer packaged goods, retail, logistics, and manufacturing companies leverage Prevedere to generate economic intelligence, spot market opportunities, mitigate risks, and deliver exclusive competitive advantage.

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